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2025-06-21 04:27:02

Brazil

The Ibovespa lost 1.2% to close at 137,116 on Friday, its steepest one-day drop in weeks, as investors returned from holiday to digest the central bank’s surprise Selic hike to 15%, which further tightened borrowing costs and clouded the outlook for credit-sensitive sectors. Bank and consumer-finance names were hit hardest: Santander fell 2.2%, Bradesco slid 1.7%, Itaúsa dropped 1.1% and Banco do Brasil eased 1.9% after Copom’s hawkish tone signaled that tightening would persist “for a very long period” if inflation remains elevated. Retailers and real-estate stocks also suffered amid forecasts that higher rates will damp household spending and curb new construction. Meanwhile, Petrobras’s modest dividend payout failed to buoy energy shares, leaving the São Paulo exchange to finish the week down 0.1%.

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2025-06-21 04:03:35

United States

The S&P 500 closed 0.2% lower on Friday, the Nasdaq fell 0.5%, while the Dow added 35 points, as investors weighed the prospects of Federal Reserve rate cuts against rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Fed Governor Waller’s suggestion that rate cuts could arrive as early as July contrasted sharply with Chair Powell’s more cautious, data-dependent stance. Semiconductor stocks like Nvidia and TSMC, dropped over 1% following reports that the US may revoke export waivers, raising concerns over global chip supply chains. Geopolitical uncertainty deepened after President Trump delayed a decision on potential US military involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, even as Israel intensified its strikes on key Iranian targets. Friday’s “triple witching” expiration added volatility, prompting a rebound in shorter-dated Treasuries and driving two-year yields down four basis points. On the week, the S&P 500 and the Dow fell 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively, while Nasdaq added 0.1%.

2025-06-21 04:03:24

Canada

The S&P/TSX Composite Index pared early gains and closed slightly lower at 26,498 on Friday, leaving the week marginally in the red. Initial relief from President Trump’s decision to delay US intervention in the Iran–Israel conflict by up to two weeks was offset by Israel’s UN ambassador vowing “we will not stop” attacks until Iran’s nuclear threat is dismantled. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Carney’s pledge to secure a comprehensive trade deal with Washington within 30 days, thereby averting retaliatory steel and aluminum tariffs, eased export-related anxieties and underpinned resource and industrial stocks. On the sector front, technology led the decline as Constellation Software, CGI and Celestica fell between 0.8% and 2.1%, while commodity-linked energy and base-metals names also weighed on the benchmark. Conversely, e-commerce giant Shopify bucked the trend with a 1.8% gain.

2025-06-21 03:06:11

Brent crude oil futures declined 2.3% to settle at $77 per barrel on Friday but still posted a third consecutive weekly gain. The slight decline came as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East were tempered by President Trump’s decision to delay potential US military involvement against Iran, allowing time for possible diplomatic negotiations over its nuclear program. However, the situation remains volatile, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly ordering intensified strikes on strategic and government sites in Iran. Despite the heightened tensions, Iran has continued crude exports, reportedly loading 2.2 million barrels per day this week, the highest level in five weeks. Meanwhile, oil prices found support from a sharper-than-expected drop in US crude inventories, with government data earlier in the week showing the largest weekly drawdown in a year. This mix of geopolitical risk and tightening supply helped maintain overall bullish sentiment in the oil market.

2025-06-21 02:59:56

WTI crude oil futures dipped 0.2% to settle at $73.80 per barrel on Friday but still posted a third consecutive weekly gain. The slight decline came as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East were tempered by President Trump’s decision to delay potential US military involvement against Iran, allowing time for possible diplomatic negotiations over its nuclear program. However, the situation remains volatile, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly ordering intensified strikes on strategic and government sites in Iran. Despite the heightened tensions, Iran has continued crude exports, reportedly loading 2.2 million barrels per day this week, the highest level in five weeks. Meanwhile, oil prices found support from a sharper-than-expected drop in US crude inventories, with government data earlier in the week showing the largest weekly drawdown in a year. This mix of geopolitical risk and tightening supply helped maintain overall bullish sentiment in the oil market.

2025-06-21 02:00:40

United States

Stocks in the US turned negative in afternoon trading as markets weighed Federal Reserve rate-cut prospects and escalating Middle East tensions. The S&P 500 declined 0.3%, the Nasdaq slid 0.7%, and the Dow pulled back by 40 points. Fed Governor Waller’s suggestion that rate cuts could arrive as early as July contrasted sharply with Chair Jerome Powell’s more cautious, data-dependent stance. Semiconductor shares—including Nvidia, Broadcom, and TSMC—dropped over 1% after reports indicated the US may revoke export waivers. Geopolitical jitters intensified when President Trump postponed a decision on US military involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict for two weeks, even as Israel escalated strikes on strategic Iranian targets. Friday’s “triple witching” expiration added volatility, prompting a rebound in shorter-dated Treasuries and driving two-year yields down four basis points. On the week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained of 0.2% and 0.5%, respectively, while the Dow rose 0.3%.

2025-06-21 01:42:34

Energy

Putin says no need for OPEC+ to intervene in oil market due to Iran-Israel conflict.Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday that oil prices had not risen significantly due to the conflict between Iran and Israel, and that there was no need for the OPEC+ group of oil producers to intervene in oil markets.

2025-06-21 01:32:35

US gasoline futures hovered around $2.32 per gallon, pausing their climb toward August highs as markets absorbed President Trump’s decision to delay any US military intervention in the Iran–Israel conflict for up to two weeks, allowing room for diplomacy. Although Iran’s export infrastructure remains intact, lingering fears over the security of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital corridor for roughly 20% of global seaborne oil, continue to underpin risk premiums. Meanwhile, EIA data showed a modest 209,000-barrel build in U.S. gasoline stocks for the week to June 13th, even as domestic production plunged by 295,000 barrels to 386,000, tightening the supply of refined fuel.

2025-06-21 01:10:39

Japan

U.S. Dollar Pulls Back Ahead Of The Weekend: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY.U.S. dollar is moving lower as traders stay focused on Middle East conflict.

2025-06-21 01:02:40

Heating oil futures eased toward $2.55 per gallon, down from a five-month high of $2.60 seen June 19th, after President Trump’s announcement that he will defer any US intervention in the Israel–Iran conflict for up to two weeks defused the immediacy of a Middle East supply shock. Nevertheless, underlying fundamentals remain firmly supportive. Ultra-low-sulfur diesel futures, which mirror heating oil’s distillate feedstock, remain elevated on fears that strikes in Tehran could choke Hormuz flows and curb Gulf exports, while US crude stocks plunged 11.5 million barrels in the week to June 13th—the largest draw in a year—and refiners ran near capacity to meet diesel, marine-fuel and summer-blend demand, leaving scant spare product. War-risk surcharges on tanker freight and insurance, coupled with high feedstock costs and the threat of further escalation, sustain speculative interest and limit any further decline in heating oil prices.

2025-06-21 00:44:23

United States

US stocks struggled for a clear direction in the afternoon session as investors weighed geopolitical tensions, Federal Reserve policy signals, and pressure on semiconductor stocks. The S&P 500 was down 0.1% the Nasdaq fell 0.3%, while the Dow added nearly 100 points, supported by optimism over potential Fed rate cuts as early as July, suggested by Governor Christopher Waller. His remarks offered a contrast to Fed Chair Powell’s earlier stance that the central bank remains in no rush to ease policy, especially with inflation risks tied to President Trump’s tariffs. Meanwhile, chip stocks like Nvidia, Broadcom, and TSMC declined over 1% after reports indicated the US may revoke export waivers, adding fresh concerns for the sector. On the geopolitical front, markets remained tense as Trump delayed a decision on US military involvement in the Iran-Israel conflict, leaving room for diplomatic negotiations. For the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.2%, the Dow gained 0.3%, and the Nasdaq added 0.5%.

2025-06-21 00:44:00

Colombia

Colombia's trade deficit widened to $1.673 billion in April 2025, up from $1.431 billion in the same month last year, marking the highest negative level since November 2024. Exports sank 6.5% year-on-year to $4.121 billion, mainly due to a sharp 33.0% drop in foreign sales of fuels and extractive industry products. In turn, imports fell a slower 0.8% year-on-year to $5.794 billion, with the decline largely driven by a 1.7% drop in the industrials group. Heightened uncertainty stemming from the US tariff war, global tensions, and shifts in OPEC-related dynamics have redrawn international trade flows.

2025-06-21 00:33:01

Energy

The Future of Brent Oil Remains Clouded as US Production Slows and Geopolitical Tensions Take Hold.The United States has once again found itself as a headline maker in the energy sector as the global geopolitical outlook brings industry-wide uncertainty.

2025-06-21 00:31:33

Natural gas decreased 5% to 3.8807 USD/MMBtu

2025-06-21 00:20:52

Italy

The FTSE MIB gained 0.7% on Friday to close at 39,231, after US President Donald Trump postponed a decision on a military strike against Iran by two weeks. The delay helped ease geopolitical tensions, boosting risk appetite. Meanwhile, foreign ministers from France, Germany, and the UK are meeting Iran’s Abbas Araghchi in Geneva to explore a return to negotiations with Western powers, in coordination with the EU. On the corporate front, top performers included Azimut (+3.8%), Telecom Italia (+2.9%), Bper Banca (+2.5%), and Interpump Group (+2.5%). In contrast, Snam (-0.9%), Terna (-0.8%), Saipem (-0.5%), and A2A (-0.6%) posted losses.

2025-06-21 00:12:02

Italy

In Milan, the FTSE MIB Index went up by 289 points or 0.74 percent on Friday. Top gainers were Azimut Holding (3.83%), Telecom Italia (2.70%) and Interpump Group (2.58%). Biggest losses came from Snam (-0.64%), A2A (-0.57%) and Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale (-0.54%).

2025-06-21 00:11:41

France

The CAC 40 rose 0.5% to close at 7,589 on Friday, snapping a three-day losing streak and rebounding from a one-month low. Investors remained focused on the Middle East after the White House said President Trump will decide within two weeks whether the US will intervene in the Israel-Iran conflict, indicating that the president still prefers a diplomatic solution, but made it clear that he is ready to use force if necessary. Meanwhile, European diplomats met in Geneva with Iran’s foreign minister, who rejected resuming nuclear talks while Israeli strikes continue, stating, “you don’t negotiate under bombardment.” Domestically, the industrial climate indicator fell to 96 in June, below expectations and marking the lowest level since January. On the corporate front, gains were led by Airbus (3.7%), Axa (2.4%), and Kering (2.3%), while Teleperformance (-3.1%) and Capgemini (-2.7%) posted the biggest losses.

2025-06-21 00:11:02

Germany

In Frankfurt, the DAX Index rose 293 points or 1.27 percent on Friday. Leading the gains are Airbus (3.55%), E.ON (2.60%) and Allianz (2.04%).

2025-06-20 23:57:16

United Kingdom

The FTSE 100 lagged behind other European markets Friday, after UK retail sales fell 2.7% in May, sharply worse than expected, raising concerns about a weakening economy in Q2. Berkeley Group led declines, down 8%, after reporting a 5.1% fall in annual pretax profits and announcing CFO Richard Stearn as its new CEO. While build costs were stable, weak economic conditions have pressured pricing. The firm noted improving sales volumes but flagged low consumer confidence. On the upside, Melrose surged around 4%, Standard Chartered, and International Airlines Group gained over 1.5%.

2025-06-20 23:52:03

United States

US Dollar Forecast: DXY Stalls Near 50-Day MA as July Rate Cut Bets Grow.US Dollar Forecast: DXY Stalls Near 50-Day MA as July Rate Cut Bets Grow

2025-06-20 23:50:51

US natural gas futures dipped below $3.93/MMBtu on Friday but remained on track for their best weekly gain in over a month, up about 10%. Forecasts for a major heat wave across the US, with triple-digit temperatures expected from Chicago to the East Coast, are driving expectations of record-breaking demand as power generators increase output to meet air conditioning needs. Geopolitical tensions remain high, with Israel striking key military and nuclear-related sites in Iran, heightening concerns over LNG supply disruptions through the vital Strait of Hormuz. Average US gas output in June stands at 105.3 bcfd, slightly below March’s record, due to spring maintenance. The EIA reported a 95 bcf storage injection last week, smaller than expected, suggesting tighter supply. Meanwhile, Freeport LNG requested a 40-month extension to complete its Train 4 expansion, now targeting a December 2031 start.

2025-06-20 23:45:56

United States

Investors will remain focused on developments in the Israel-Iran conflict, particularly the potential for US military involvement, along with updates on global trade negotiations. Attention will also turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress, as markets look for signs of a hawkish tone balanced by a data-dependent approach. On the data front, key US releases include the PCE report, durable goods orders, and the goods trade balance. Flash PMIs for major economies—including the US, Eurozone, Japan, and India—are also due.

2025-06-20 23:28:03

Colombia

Colombia’s imports fell 0.8% year-on-year to USD 5.79 billion in April 2025, ending a nine-month growth streak and marking the first decline since June 2024. The drop was mainly due to a 1.7% fall in manufactured goods imports, totaling USD 4.22 billion, driven by lower purchases of chemicals (-8.3%) and manufactured goods by material (-2.8%). Fuel and extractive imports declined 0.2% to USD 690.9 million, mainly due to a 3.9% drop in natural and manufactured gas. In contrast, imports of agricultural, food, and beverages rose 3.4% to USD 870.2 million, led by a 49.4% surge in animal and vegetable oils and fats. The US remained Colombia’s top trading partner in April (26.7% of imports), followed by China (25.7%), Mexico, Brazil, Germany, Japan, and India.

2025-06-20 23:22:27

Rwanda

Rwanda's economy expanded by 7.8% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, easing from an 8.0% increase in the previous quarter and marking the slowest pace since Q3 2023. The deceleration was largely attributed to a notable slowdown in the services and agriculture sectors. The services sector expanded by 9% (vs. 11% in Q4), marking its weakest growth in six quarters, mainly due to sharp slowdowns in wholesale & retail trade (14% vs 23%) and transport (4% vs 8%). Meanwhile, agricultural output grew 2% (vs. 3%), the slowest since Q2 2023, mainly due to a decline in food crop production (-1% vs. 2%). In contrast, industrial activity accelerated to 9% (vs. 7%), marking its fastest growth in three quarters. This was supported by continued gains in manufacturing (7% vs. 3%) and construction (13% vs. 9%), while mining and quarrying output (-3% vs. 5%) contracted, reversing previous growth. On a quarterly basis, GDP shrank by 1.0%, compared with a 4.1% expansion in Q4 2024.

2025-06-20 23:21:06

Energy

Natural Gas Weekly Price Outlook – Natural Gas Has a Bullish Week.The natural gas market has rallied a bit in the past week, breaking above the crucial $4 level, only to struggle in that area. This is a market that is reacting to several external pressures at the same time.

2025-06-20 23:05:55

India

India's infrastructure output expanded by 0.7%, slowing from the upwardly revised 1% expansion in the earlier month, marking the softest pace of expansion since August of 2024. Output expanded sharply for electricity (-5.8% vs 1.7% in April), fertilizers (-5.9% vs -4.2%), and natural gas (-3.6% vs -0.9%). On the other hand, output expanded for coal (2.8%) vs 3.5%), steel (9.2% vs 6.3%), and cement (6.7%).

2025-06-20 22:51:42

Energy

Natural Gas Price Outlook – Natural Gas Rallies Only to Pull Back.The natural gas price has rallied nicely in the early hours of Friday, only to give a lot of those gains back. At this point, the $4 level is worth noting, as it is a large, round, psychologically important figure, and in general, it makes sense we will see trouble.

2025-06-20 22:25:46

The Baltic Exchange's dry bulk sea freight index fell 3.5% to 1,689 on Friday, its lowest level since June 10. The capesize index, which typically transport 150,000-ton cargoes such as iron ore and coal, dropped 6.5% to 2,879, its lowest level since June 6. The panamax index, which usually carry 60,000-70,000 tons of coal or grain, went down 0.2% to an over one-week low of 1,350. On the other hand, the supramax index increased 10 points to 973.

2025-06-20 22:20:00

Euro area

The Euro Area consumer confidence indicator went down by 0.2 to -15.3 in June 2025 from -15.1 in May and missing market expectations of -14.5, according to a preliminary estimate. Consumer confidence continues to score well below its long-term average. Meanwhile, consumer morale across the European Union also decreased by 0.3 points to -14.8.

2025-06-20 22:15:46

Canada

New home prices in Canada fell 0.2% in May from the previous month, matching market expectations, as house prices dropped 0.4%. In contrast, land prices edged up an estimated 0.1%, partially offsetting the overall decrease. Regionally, declines were led by Ontario (-0.5%) and British Columbia (-0.4%), while gains were seen in Atlantic Canada (+0.4%) and the Prairies (+0.2%).

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