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2025-06-27 11:27:18

ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Tokyo inflation eases but remains well above target.Trump and Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced that a deal had been reached with China, though details were slow to emerge. The agreement amounts to an understanding to implement an additional framework for the previously stalled Geneva agreement.

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2025-06-27 11:07:23

India

Fed rate cut bets to help rupee extend weekly rally.The Indian rupee is set to climb further on Friday, supported by weak U.S. data that has strengthened expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, and possibly earlier.

2025-06-27 11:03:14

Colombia

S&P cuts Colombia's debt rating to 'BB' over declining fiscal results.S&P downgraded Colombia's debt rating by one notch to 'BB' from 'BB+', citing weaker fiscal performance, the ratings agency said on Thursday.

2025-06-27 10:56:19

Australia

Cliff Notes: Australian Inflation Risks Recede.

2025-06-27 10:53:05

Tokyo core inflation slows to 3.1% in June, but food costs still surging.

2025-06-27 10:37:01

United States

Fed's Kashkari needs clarity before cutting rates.

2025-06-27 10:28:45

United States

Fed's Collins: July cut too soon, needs more data before moving.

2025-06-27 10:23:49

United States

Fed's Barr: Tariffs pose dual risk to inflation and jobs, justifying wait and see.

2025-06-27 10:16:52

South Korea

The benchmark KOSPI fell 0.1% to around 3,070 on Friday, extending its losses as large investor sell-offs outweighed global optimism. The main drag came from continued profit-taking by foreign and institutional investors after recent rallies in tech and bio stocks. Despite positive sentiment from Wall Street and easing Middle East tensions, the local market struggled to sustain momentum. On the corporate front, losses were seen for LG Energy Solution (-0.8%) and Hyundai Motor (-0.7%). Conversely, leading gains were from Samsung Electronics (0.5%), SK Hynix (0.3%), and Hanwha Aerospace (4.2%).

2025-06-27 10:15:09

Gold fell to around $3,320 per ounce on Friday, extending recent losses despite a subdued dollar, as investors continued to assess the Fed’s rate cut outlook. Reports indicate President Trump may announce his Fed Chair nominee as early as September or October, likely favoring a candidate supportive of looser financial conditions. Fed Chair Powell, for his part, noted that the absence of new tariffs supports disinflation, creating room for multiple rate cuts if aggressive levies are held off beyond the July 9 deadline. On the data front, US GDP was revised to show a 0.5% contraction in Q2, further supporting dovish expectations, though this was offset by jobless claims falling to a five-week low and durable goods orders posting their biggest gain in 11 years. Markets now await the PCE inflation report due today for further direction. Elsewhere, fading risks in the Middle East reduced demand for safe-haven assets. For the week, bullion is on track for its second consecutive weekly loss.

2025-06-27 10:13:36

Taiwan

Taiwan's consumer confidence index fell to 63.7 in June 2025, down from 64.93 in May, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline as all indicators weakened. This was the lowest reading since April 2024, with the sharpest drop seen in perceptions of the timing for stock investment (23.96 vs 26.82 in May). The second-largest decline was in the domestic economic outlook (81.11 vs 82.16), followed by expectations for employment opportunities (70.71 vs 71.70), the price level over the next six months (32.47 vs 33.37), family financial conditions (77.06 vs 77.90), and the timing of durable goods purchases (96.88 vs 97.63).

2025-06-27 10:07:04

United States

Shares rally but dollar weakens with Fed independence seen under threat.Asia shares hit their highest level in more than three years on Friday as they tracked a Wall Street rally, though the dollar struggled on concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence and expectations for early rate cuts.

2025-06-27 10:06:30

Energy

US will not complete scheduled deliveries of crude oil into the SPR until the end of year.The U.S. Department of Energy says scheduled crude oil deliveries to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) will be delayed until December due to maintenance at SPR sites. Originally, 15.8 million barrels were slated for delivery from January through May, but only 8.8 million have been received so far.

2025-06-27 10:03:12

United States

The US dollar index dropped toward 97 on Friday, hitting its lowest level since February 2022, as traders ramped up bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts. Reports suggested that President Donald Trump may announce his pick for the next Fed Chair as early as September or October, potentially creating a “shadow” leadership structure that could guide monetary policy in a more dovish direction. Adding to the pressure on the dollar, Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a notably dovish tone during recent congressional testimony, suggesting that in the absence of inflationary pressures from tariffs, the Fed would have continued its rate-cutting cycle. Traders are now awaiting the latest PCE price index report, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, for further policy signals. Meanwhile, the White House helped ease market tensions by downplaying the importance of upcoming tariff deadlines, reducing fears of a prolonged trade conflict.

2025-06-27 09:52:04

Brent crude oil futures rose for a third straight session to around $68 per barrel on Friday but remained on track for its worst week since March 2023, following a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Oil prices swung within a $15-per-barrel range this week, surging on Monday after the US bombed Iranian nuclear sites, then easing after President Trump announced a ceasefire, soothing fears of supply disruptions from the region. Since then, Trump has sent mixed signals about his pressure campaign on Iran’s oil revenues, admitting US sanctions have done little to stop China’s purchases. Meanwhile, rising fuel demand amid the US summer driving season is supporting prices, with crude inventories hitting an 11-year seasonal low. A subdued dollar also helped cushion losses by making the dollar-denominated commodity less expensive. Investors have now shifted focus to progress in US-China trade talks, as well as the July 6 OPEC meeting.

2025-06-27 09:51:53

WTI crude oil futures rose for a third straight session toward $66 per barrel on Friday but remained on track for its worst week since March 2023, following a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Oil prices swung within a $15-per-barrel range this week, surging on Monday after the US bombed Iranian nuclear sites, then easing after President Trump announced a ceasefire, soothing fears of supply disruptions from the region. Since then, Trump has sent mixed signals about his pressure campaign on Iran’s oil revenues, admitting US sanctions have done little to stop China’s purchases. Meanwhile, rising fuel demand amid the US summer driving season is supporting prices, with crude inventories hitting an 11-year seasonal low. A subdued dollar also helped cushion losses by making the dollar-denominated commodity less expensive. Investors have now shifted focus to progress in US-China trade talks, as well as the July 6 OPEC meeting.

2025-06-27 09:39:08

Philippines

The Philippines’ trade deficit narrowed to USD 3.3 billion in May 2025 from USD 4.7 billion in the same month last year, as exports rose while imports fell. Year-on-year, exports climbed by 15.1% to USD 7.3 billion, driven by higher sales of gold (102.2%), other manufactured goods (70.6%), and copper concentrates (67.6%). The US accounted for the largest share of exports (15.3%), followed by Hong Kong (15.2%), Japan (14.3%), and China (10.2%). Meanwhile, imports dropped by 4.4% to USD 10.6 billion, mainly due to reduced purchases of mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials (-39.6%), cereals and cereal preparations (-16.4%), and iron and steel (-12.2%). China remained the top import source, accounting for 29.7% of total imports, followed by Indonesia (8.5%), Japan (7.6%), and South Korea (6.4%). Considering the first five months of the year, the trade deficit decreased to USD 19.7 billion, compared to USD 20.7 billion in the corresponding period of the previous year.

2025-06-27 09:38:52

Philippines

Imports to the Philippines fell by 4.4% year-on-year to USD 10.6 billion in May 2025, contracting further from a downwardly revised 2.5% drop in the previous month. This marked the sharpest decline since June 2024 as purchases decreased for mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials (-39.6%), cereal and cereal preparations (-16.4%), iron and steel (-12.2%), and telecommunication equipment and electrical machinery (-0.7%). Conversely, inbound shipments increased for transport equipment (17.1%), industrial machinery and equipment (11.7%), miscellaneous manufactured articles (10.4%), and electronic products (8%). Among top trading partners, arrivals slumped from South Korea (-31.1%), Malaysia (-26.3%), US (-13.9%), Thailand (-13.5%), Singapore (-10%), and Indonesia (-7%). Meanwhile, imports went up from China (+14.9%), Japan (+14.7%), and Vietnam (+2.1%). For the first five months of the year, imports were 4.4% higher compared to the same period last year.

2025-06-27 09:36:39

United States

Dollar lingers near 3-1/2-year low as traders bet on US rate cuts.The dollar drifted on Friday, hovering near its lowest level in 3-1/2 years against the euro and sterling, as traders wagered on deeper U.S. rate cuts while awaiting trade deals ahead of a July deadline for President Donald Trump's tariffs.

2025-06-27 09:36:35

China

Profits at China’s industrial firms dropped by 1.1% year-on-year to CNY 2,720.43 billion in the first five months of 2025, reversing a 1.4% gain in the January–April period. The decline highlights ongoing deflationary pressures and growing trade uncertainty amid steep U.S. tariffs. Profits at state-owned enterprises contracted more sharply (-7.4% vs -4.4% in January-April), while profit growth in the private sector slowed (3.4% vs 4.3%). By industry, profits decreased in coal mining (-50.5%), automobiles (-11.9%), oil and gas extraction (-10.4%), and chemicals (-4.7%). In contrast, profit grew in agriculture (38.2%), computer and communications (11.9%), electrical machinery (11.6%), general manufacturing (10.6%), non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling (9.8%), special equipment (7.1%), heat production (5.7%), and non-metallic mineral products (0.6%). In May alone, industrial profits shrank by 9.1% yoy, swinging from a 3.0% increase in April and marking the first fall in three months.

2025-06-27 09:19:49

Philippines

Exports from the Philippines jumped by 15.1% year-on-year to USD 7.3 billion in May 2025, accelerating from an upwardly revised 7.6% increase in the previous month. This marked the sharpest growth in outbound shipments since April 2024, driven by a surge in sales of other manufactured goods (+122.7%), coconut oil (+55.4%), and gold (+48.9%). Electronic products, the largest export component, rose modestly by 0.9%. Among trading partners, the US accounted for the largest share of exports (15.3%), with annual export growth of 3.6%, despite the 17% US tariff on Philippine goods. Exports also grew to Singapore (+26.5%), Hong Kong (+22.6%), and Japan (+17.9%). Meanwhile, shipments fell to China (-12.4%) and Thailand (-6.4%). Considering the January to May period, exports climbed 10.8% to USD 34.2 billion compared to the same period last year.

2025-06-27 09:06:14

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 climbed 0.6% to around 8,601 on Friday, hitting its highest level in two weeks, driven by a rally in mining stocks. The index is also poised for its strongest weekly gain since mid-May, following reports that the US and China reached an understanding to accelerate rare earth shipments to the US. The framework agreement, announced by the White House, came out of recent trade talks and includes China resuming rare earth exports in exchange for the US easing countermeasures, though it still awaits final approval from Chinese leadership. Sentiment was further supported after the White House downplayed the urgency of upcoming tariff deadlines. At home, all eyes are now on next week’s May retail sales, which could offer clues over Australia’s growth outlook and support the case of a July rate cut. On the corporate front, Chinese export-reliant miners led the charge, up over 3%, such as BHP (3.6%), Fortescue (2.9%), and South32 (2.1%). Gold miner Northern Star also rose 0.8%.

2025-06-27 08:58:42

Japan

The Nikkei 225 rose 1.3% to around 40,100 on Friday, while the broader Topix Index advanced 1.1% to 2,835, as Japanese equities rallied to multi-month highs following a strong session on Wall Street. Market sentiment improved after the White House downplayed the urgency of upcoming tariff deadlines, easing investor concerns over a prolonged trade war. Spokesperson Karoline Leavitt indicated the deadlines were flexible and could be extended. Meanwhile, investors weighed fresh data showing Tokyo’s core inflation slowed in June but remained well above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target, sustaining expectations for further rate hikes. Gains were led by major index constituents, including Disco (up 5.9%), Tokyo Electron (4.6%), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (2.1%), Kawasaki Heavy Industries (6.2%), and SoftBank Group (1.5%).

2025-06-27 08:56:56

South Korea

South Korea government holds emergency meeting on household debt.The back story on this is that South Korea has one of the highest household debt-to-income ratios among OECD countries. Households owe significantly more than their annual disposable income.

2025-06-27 08:31:07

United States

US stock futures were little changed on Friday as investors awaited the release of the latest PCE price index report, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The data is expected to shed light on the impact of recent tariffs on consumer prices. On Thursday, the S&P 500 jumped 0.8% to close at a record high, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.97%, approaching fresh all-time highs. The Dow also advanced 0.94%, buoyed by easing geopolitical tensions, strong earnings from tech giants, and rising hopes for rate cuts. Adding to the optimism, the White House signaled flexibility on upcoming tariff deadlines, easing fears of an extended trade conflict. Meanwhile, speculation grew over a potential early replacement of Fed Chair Jerome Powell, following reports that President Donald Trump is considering nominating a successor sooner than expected—a move that could indicate a pivot toward more dovish monetary policy.

2025-06-27 08:19:40

United States

U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said President Trump is preparing to finalize a series of trade deals over the next two weeks ahead of a July 9 deadline, when higher tariffs paused in April could be reinstated. “We’re going to do top 10 deals, put them in the right category, and then these other countries will fit behind,” Lutnick explained in an interview with Bloomberg News. He didn’t name which countries would be included, though Trump earlier hinted that a deal with India was close. If no agreements are reached, Trump plans to send “letters” to nations outlining U.S. trade terms. According to Lutnick, countries will be placed into “proper buckets” on July 9, but the president may also extend deadlines to allow further negotiations.

2025-06-27 08:12:09

Japan

Core consumer prices in Tokyo’s Ku-area rose 3.1% year-on-year in June 2025, easing from a 3.6% increase in May and falling short of market expectations of 3.3%. This marks the first slowdown in core inflation since February, though the rate remains well above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target, sustaining expectations for further interest rate hikes. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda recently signaled that the central bank may continue raising rates if sustained wage growth supports consumer spending and enables firms to pass on higher costs—conditions seen as critical to anchoring inflation around the 2% goal. Still, the BOJ’s latest Summary of Opinions struck a more cautious tone, with policymakers stressing the importance of maintaining an accommodative stance amid ongoing global trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties.

2025-06-27 08:06:52

United States

The U.S. and China have reached a "framework" agreement to resume rare earth shipments to the U.S., following trade talks that began last month in Geneva, according to the White House. A U.S. official said the framework aims to “expedite rare earths shipments,” while U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick noted China will deliver the materials and in return, “we’ll take down our countermeasures.” This announcement came shortly after President Trump said that a trade deal had been signed with Beijing, though details were sparse. The agreement builds on earlier discussions in Geneva, where both sides agreed to set up a "trade consultation mechanism" to ease tensions. Talks later continued in London, producing a “framework in principle” pending approval from top leaders. Trump declared the deal "done" but said it awaited Chinese President Xi Jinping’s signoff. It remains unclear whether the framework will prevent Trump’s proposed tariffs—up to 125%—from being reinstated on August 12.

2025-06-27 07:59:05

United Kingdom

UK car production dropped 32.8% year-on-year in May 2025 to 49,810 units, hit by factory disruptions and new US tariffs. Excluding the pandemic-affected year of 2020, this marks the lowest May output since 1949. Exports to the UK’s two largest markets fell sharply, with shipments to the EU down 22.5% and to the US plummeting 55.4%. The decline follows President Donald Trump’s decision in March to impose a 25% tariff on imported automobiles and parts, disrupting global supply chains and driving up costs. The move has led some automakers to consider relocating production to the US. However, a recent trade deal between the UK and the US, reaffirmed at the G7 summit in Canada earlier this month, offered a glimmer of relief. Under the agreement, up to 100,000 UK-made vehicles can enter the US each year at a reduced 10% tariff—lower than the standard 25% rate applied to other countries.

2025-06-27 07:55:33

Japan

Retail sales in Japan increased by 2.2% year-on-year in May 2025, down from an upwardly revised 3.5% rise in the previous month and below market expectations of 2.7% growth. This marked the 38th consecutive month of retail sales growth, but the slowest pace since February, with rising wages continuing to support consumption. Sales increased for clothing & personal goods (7.2%), machinery & equipment (5.8%), pharmaceuticals & cosmetics (4.6%), other retailers (4.4%), automobiles (2.4%), non-store retailers (1.4%), and food & beverages (1.4%). In contrast, sales declined at department stores (-6.1%), while fuel sales were flat. On a monthly basis, retail sales fell by 0.2% in May, reversing an upwardly revised 0.7% gain in April. This marked the second monthly decline so far this year.

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